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Posted on: July 26, 2008 10:37 am
 

Thoughts on Nady, Marte, Tabata deal.

I i'm questioning this deal, and there's a couple of reasons why.

  1. Totally sold low on Ohlendorf. As a reliever, this guy could really get it up there 95-97MPH. Crazy good sinker. I guess you could justify it by saying that Marte is much better, but still, they sold low.
  2. Tabata was phenom status when the first signed, he's struggled a bit, but he's had hand and wrist injuries and he's 19 in AA. The deal hinges on how successful he becomes. I know that the Yankees have tons of prospects and I think A-jax is better, but the Yankees have depth in pitching prospects for positional prospects you have Tabata, A-Jax, Montero, and then....?
  3. I'm not sold on Nady consistantly producing. I don't know if its his nerve or what, but the last thing the Yankees need is a guy who runs hot for weeks and the cold for weeks.
  4. Picking up Marte is great, but would'nt it have been better to pick up a starter?, right now the Yankees bullpen has been rock solid. Bolstering it can't be bad, but it seems like improving the rotation was a bretter way to go. I get that that wouldve been harder to do, but just shows that this deal wasn't perfect.

The things i like about this deal:

  1. The other two guys the Yanks gave up, never would've saw the Bronx, the Yankees have much better prospects at higher levels, they would've been nonfactors.
  2. Although it looks like a win now move, i think this deal has more to do with Bobby Abreu's departure. It doesn't look like A-Jax will be ready by 2009, so Nady allows them to leave Abreu and still have a stop gap. Obviously getting him now rather than the offseason allows him to replace Posada and Matsui's bats in the lineup for the rest of the season.

This is one of those wait and see deals.

If Tabata ever hits for power like they think he will, this deal will look plenty stupid for the Yankees.

I don't trust Nady, this deal might look stupid anyway if he stops producing.

I'm weary of this deal, but for 2008 it looks like it will make them stronger. Stong enough to win the AL East? We'll see.

Posted on: June 29, 2008 1:08 pm
 

Guys the Yanks should target next winter.

Next years free agent class has some top of the line players in it, but i really think the Yankees need to get creative instead of just going straight for the best players. There's a couple reasons for that.

  1. Most of the Yankees position players are locked into long term deals. Jeter, A-rod , Cano, Posada, and Melky are all locked up. The Yanks also have a couple of hot shot outfield prospects that will fill in with Melky.
  2. Going after guys like C.C. Sabathia is going to cost you draft picks. The Yankees have shown in recent years what you can do with a first round draft choice. its also going to cost you a bajillion dollars.
  3. 1st base is really the only position where they have a hole, but i'm good with that because they're going to need somewhere to put Posada when he can no longer catch, they also need to decide what to do with Jeter, because they is going to come a time where he's no longer a adequete shortstop. I don't see him switching positions as a problem seeing as he idolizes Cal Ripken Jr, who had to switch positions later in his career.

Here's a position by position analysis.

  • Catcher: they just gave Jorge Posada a 4 year deal that runs through 2011. For 2009 he should be alright behind the plate, as long as he proves he can still throw out runners.
  • 1st base: A 2 or 3 year contract here would be best. they're going to need this spot in 2 or 3 years for Posada or Jeter. I would suggest either resigning Giambi, or finding someone to platoon against lefties with Wilson Betemit. It would have to be through trade because there isn't really a good platoon candidate on FA market.
  • 2nd Base: Cano is locked up here. He'll be here for the next 10-15 years. no worries.
  • 3rd Base: A-rod locked up for the next 10 years, ought to be fun to watch. no worries here.
  • Shortstop: Derek Jeter, should be alright here for 2009, he needs to be, but after that i'd look for a guy who plays spectacular shortstop defense, and isn't a total liability at the plate and then move Jeter to 1st or DH him. An Adam Everett-like guy is ideal. Media hit taken by moving him won't sting as much if the new guy is a human highlight reel at SS.
  • OF/DH: Matsui and Damon are both signed through 2009. they'll switch off in LF and at DH for next year. Brett Gardner should be called up to roam center, while Melky will slide over and play right for the departed Bobby Abreu. After 2009, I would hope A-Jax and Tabata would be ready to be called up playing center and left respectivly, while Gardner could become trade bait or a 4th outfielder.
  • Rotation: let Mussina walk, resign Pettite if you can get him for under 10 million dollars. If not look for guys who can give you innings. If Moose keeps pitching like this, you might get a draft pick for him. Trust that Hughes Kennedy and Joba will become effective starters. hopefully Hughes or Joba can emerge as an ace, and let Wang slide back and become the #2. Slot Kenndy in at 4 or 5 if he gets his act together by the end of the season, if he doesn't, go after Jon Garland of the Angels. If you don't keep Pettite, and Kennedy still hasn't found his stuff, and nobody else from the farm is ready, try to make a trade. If you can't find one, i'd suggest Derek Lowe. Keep in mind, his ERAs may look good over the last 3 years, but they'll take a hit moving from the weakest hitting division to the strongest.
  • Bullpen: Relievers are a playground this year on the market. The Yankees obviously need to retool thier bullpen, but not too badley. signing an 8th inning guy, and then expecting another guy from the minors steps up and establishes himself as a reliable 7th inning guy is not to overly optomistic. Melancorn perhaps? Guys i'd suggest for the 8th inning are Rafael Soriano, Brian Fuentes, Bob Howry, and Brandon Lyon.

Overall, i'd expect 2009 to be a long season. Trusting the young guys is going to be tough in Yankee land, but this team was built around aging players, and now we need to replace the foundation. We have to be able to trust the young guys, or else there's no point in having them, we might as well have traded them for Santana.

this plan would cut costs extremly. i would expect a 2009 payroll around 140-145 million. They could then pour that money back into scouting, the draft, and the farm system.

 

Posted on: June 13, 2008 8:36 pm
 

Most intriguing guy taken in the '08 draft.

Pat Venditte, a switch-pitcher.

That's right a switch-pitcher. Here's his Wikipedia page

"Pat Venditte Jr. (born June 30, 1985 in Omaha, Nebraska) is an American baseball player. He plays Division I NCAA college baseball for Creighton University in Omaha, Nebraska. Venditte is a "switch-pitcher", meaning he can pitch and throw proficiently with both arms. He is recognized as the only NCAA pitcher who is able to do this, and is being sought out by Major League Baseball scouts for a career in the majors. He was drafted by the New York Yankees in 2007 but opted to return to Creighton for his senior year. He was again drafted by the Yankees in the 2008 Major League Baseball Draft. He was selected in the 20th round with the 620th overall pick.

Venditte joined the Creighton Bluejays in 2005 as a walk-on. Creighton head coach Ed Servais did not allow Venditte to pitch with both arms during his five appearances his freshman year fearing the spectacle would become a "circus" . However, Venditte has regularly used both arms in collegiate play since his sophomore year in which he attained a 3.02 ERA in 62.2 innings. In his junior year, Vendette appeared in 36 of 58 of Creighton's games before going into the 2007 NCAA Division I Baseball Tournament. His opponents batting average of .185 was the fourth best in the nation, and he achieved an 1.85 ERA. At one point during the season, Venditte had a streak of 43 2/3 scoreless innings. In the 2007 season, Venditte earned first-team all-conference honors for the Missouri Valley Conference and led Creighton to their first ever conference championship in which he was named the tournament MVP. On May 28, 2007, Collegiate Baseball named Venditte the national player of the week. He was named to the All-American third team for the 2007 season. Venditte was also voted Midwest Region Pitcher of the Year by online pitching magazine InsidePitching.com

On June 8, 2007, in the 45th Round of the 2007 Major League Baseball Draft, the New York Yankees selected Venditte with the 1345th pick of the draft. Venditte was surprised by the pick because he had told all major league scouts that he intended to return to Creighton for his senior year. The Yankees called him during the 30th round of the draft asking him how much it would take to sign him, but Venditte refused to set a price. Ultimately, the Yankees were unable to sign Venditte before the August 15, 2007 signing deadline. Venditte said that he was not quite ready to turn professional and wants to build velocity with his left arm and add another pitch with his right arm.

Venditte played 2006 summer ball for the Quincy Gems, and 2007 summer ball for the Wisconsin Woodchucks in the Northwoods League. As the Woodchucks' closer, he had a 4-1 record, 9 saves, a 1.76 ERA, and a .154 opponents' batting average.

He was selected with the 620th pick in the MLB Draft by the New York Yankees."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pat_Ve
nditte#CITEREFNicholl2007

He's starting the season with the Staten Island Yankees of the New York Penn League (Short Season-A).  I really really really want to see this guy, and i live near a club in the league(Tri-City Valley Cats, Houston Astros affiliate), so i'm definetly goin to see this guy. 

Here's another article written last year from MLB.com

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp
?ymd=20070518&content_id=1971888&vkey=draft2007&fext=.jsp

 

Posted on: April 27, 2008 7:06 pm
 

Tabata and A-jax yet to pop a homerun.

The Yankees top 2 positional prospects have yet to homer in a combined 53 games at Double-A Trenton.

Austin Jackson hasn't been struggling persay, given his .283 avg, and .377 OBP, but he still has just 3 rbi's in 29 games.

Jose Tabata is really struggling, hitting .200 with a .308 OBP. We gave him a mulligan on the lack of power last year because of the wrist injury, but this year he really needs to muscle up.

plus side, they've stolen a combined 8 bases 5 for A-jax, and 3 for Tabata.

Posted on: April 15, 2008 4:30 pm
 

My take on Mark Reynolds.

Mark Reynolds, you know the 24 y/o ripping apart opposing pitchers to the tune of a .280 batting average with 5 homers in 50 ABs and a .620 SLG.

This guy is obviously legit, the D-backs felt comfortable having him skip Triple-A to come straight to the majors last year after just 333 minor league games, where he hit .280 with 68 Homeruns and 238 RBIs. I'm not so sure he'll grab superstar status this year, that'll come next year probably, but for this year he'll creep towards the games elite.

The last 2 months of 2007, he stroked the ball at a .319 clip, and hit 9 of his 17 homers in 166 ABs. He still strikes out an awful lot, over that stretch he K'd and incredible 61 times, almost a third of his 188 plate appearences, compared to his 20 walks.

For this year, he looks like Adam Dunn, with a bit less power, and a .285-.295 average, and without any SB potential, because of his astounding k-rate, and power potential.

My projections for this year.

.290 average, 34 Hrs, .360 OBP, .530 SLG

2009

.305, 38 Hrs, .380 OBP, .550 SLG.

Posted on: April 7, 2008 8:34 pm
 

Who to add, and who to avoid, Fantasy baseball.

We're a week into the baseball season, and there are some guys you might night of seen before lingering around the top of the hitting charts. Some of these guys might just be lighting in a bottle (Chris Shelton), but i'll try to outline the guys i think are legit for you.

Legit guys.

Justin Upton, OF:This power is no fluke. He's definetly for real. He's the youngest player in the majors, so if you grab him off the waiver wire with the intention of starting him, bench him if he hits a funk, but he'll still make a great starter.

Nate McLouth, OF:Look at his 2007 numbers, if he gets 600 ABs last year, he's a 20-20 guy. At 26 years old, it's not unlikely this is his breakout campaign. He's being grabed quickley now so get to it.

Micah Owings, SP: Down the stretch last year, Owings was great, posting a 3.02 ERA in his final 10 starts. Spring training numbers mean nothing for pitchers, he's 25 yrs old, and he's always there with the bat to help himself out. No reason to think he can't post an ERA under 4.00 this year.

Stay away

Jeff Keppinger, SS: The power is an illusion. in all of his 6 yrs in the minors, he hit a grand total 23 HRs. SBs also an illusion. he stole 27 bags in his 563 minor league games. He's a one dimensional player, he'll hit for a nice avg, but don't expect anything more.

A.J. Pierzynski, C: Do i really have to tell you that 32 yr old regulars don't become superstars. He'll still make a decent start, and if he stays hot, i'll change my mind, but no 1 week can overrule 7 full major league seasons.

Jose Lopez, 2B: if your in dire need of a 2nd baseman, then sure, go for it, but i look at 06, his best season, and although he's young, i don't think he has the power or speed to be useful enough to pickup, at least for this year. He'll near .300 though.

I hope this helps you out, let me know if it does, i tried to stay away from the obvious, like Cueto and Volquez.

 

Category: MLB
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com